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Realities of ClimateRealities of Climate
Change in the CongoChange in the Congo
BasinBasin
Ken Creighton, Ph.D.Ken Creighton, Ph.D.
Central Africa Program forCentral Africa Program for
the Environmentthe Environment
(CARPE)(CARPE)
kcreighton@usaid.govkcreighton@usaid.gov
CIFOR Conference – Yaoundé – May 2013
Goal: To help countries accelerate their transitionGoal: To help countries accelerate their transition
to climate-resilient, low emission developmentto climate-resilient, low emission development
Overarching
Principle:Overarching
Principle:



To
strengthen
developmentTo
strengthen
development
outcomes
through
direct
climate
change
programoutcomes
through
direct
climate
change
program
investments
and
by
integrating
climate
changeinvestments
and
by
integrating
climate
change
throughout
USAID
programming,
learning,
policythroughout
USAID
programming,
learning,
policy
dialogues,
and
internal
operations.dialogues,
and
internal
operations.
Strategy:
Strategy:
Invest
in
land
use
practices
that
stop,
slow,Invest
in
land
use
practices
that
stop,
slow,
and
reverse
emissions
from
deforestation
andand
reverse
emissions
from
deforestation
and
degradation
of
forest
and
other
landscapes.degradation
of
forest
and
other
landscapes.
Forest cover change in the Congo BasinForest cover change in the Congo Basin
from 1990 to 2010from 1990 to 2010
Multisectorial Approaches to Land ManagementMultisectorial Approaches to Land Management
Related to REDD+Related to REDD+
To achieve and sustain REDD+ requires theTo achieve and sustain REDD+ requires the
understanding and management of a variety ofunderstanding and management of a variety of
influences that span a number of sectors:influences that span a number of sectors:
Forest management and exploitationForest management and exploitation
Agriculture and grazingAgriculture and grazing
Transportation InfrastructureTransportation Infrastructure
MiningMining
Population growth and movementsPopulation growth and movements
Planned and spontaneous settlements and urbanPlanned and spontaneous settlements and urban
growthgrowth
Conservation and management ofConservation and management of ““naturalnatural””
landscapeslandscapes
MultisectorialMultisectorial Approaches to Land ManagementApproaches to Land Management
Related to REDD+Related to REDD+
There are several different approachedThere are several different approached
being tried to address thebeing tried to address the ““multisectorialmultisectorial””
nature of REDD such as:nature of REDD such as:
 REDD+REDD+
 Full terrestrial accounting orFull terrestrial accounting or ““REALUREALU””
(reduced emissions from all land use)(reduced emissions from all land use)
 JurisdictionalJurisdictional REDD+REDD+
MultisectoralMultisectoral Approaches to Land ManagementApproaches to Land Management
Related to REDD+Related to REDD+
REDD+REDD+
Seeks to achieve overall emissionsSeeks to achieve overall emissions
reductions or stabilization throughreductions or stabilization through
management of carbon stocks and flows by:management of carbon stocks and flows by:
Reducing deforestation and degradationReducing deforestation and degradation
Improving forest management practicesImproving forest management practices
Enhancing forest carbon stocks throughEnhancing forest carbon stocks through
plantations and agroforestryplantations and agroforestry
Maintaining carbon stocks through conservationMaintaining carbon stocks through conservation
MultisectoralMultisectoral Approaches to Land ManagementApproaches to Land Management
Related to REDD+Related to REDD+
REALUREALU:: RReducingeducing EEmissions frommissions from AAllll LLandand UUsesses
Seeks to achieveSeeks to achieve overall emissions reductions oroverall emissions reductions or
stabilization through management of carbon stocks andstabilization through management of carbon stocks and
flows by improving land management practices across aflows by improving land management practices across a
range of land usesrange of land uses with the goal to enhance the capacitywith the goal to enhance the capacity
to sequester and maintain carbon stocks thoughto sequester and maintain carbon stocks though
improvements in a variety of land use practices, that areimprovements in a variety of land use practices, that are
aligned with local goals and aspirationsaligned with local goals and aspirations for sustainablefor sustainable
development including:development including:
ForestryForestry
Agriculture and pastoralismAgriculture and pastoralism
Planning of urban andPlanning of urban and periperi-urban settlements and-urban settlements and
supporting infrastructuresupporting infrastructure
MultisectoralMultisectoral Approaches to Land ManagementApproaches to Land Management
Related to REDD+Related to REDD+
Jurisdictional REDD+Jurisdictional REDD+
Has similar goals and methods as REDD+ and REALUHas similar goals and methods as REDD+ and REALU
but places thebut places the emphasis on integrated land useemphasis on integrated land use
planning at the level of individual political unitsplanning at the level of individual political units suchsuch
as districts, provinces, municipalities, cantons, etc.as districts, provinces, municipalities, cantons, etc.
and seeks toand seeks to achieve quantifiable resultsachieve quantifiable results fromfrom
implementation of appropriateimplementation of appropriate locally developed,locally developed,
endorsed and adopted policiesendorsed and adopted policies, measures and, measures and
practicespractices that are aligned with local priorities andthat are aligned with local priorities and
aspirations and based on broad agreement reflectedaspirations and based on broad agreement reflected
in local legal instruments reflecting culturallyin local legal instruments reflecting culturally
accepted norms and practices.accepted norms and practices.
MultisectoralMultisectoral Approaches to Land ManagementApproaches to Land Management
Related to REDD+Related to REDD+
Drivers of deforestation, forest degradationDrivers of deforestation, forest degradation
and increased land-based greenhouse gasand increased land-based greenhouse gas
emissions can be divided into two types.emissions can be divided into two types.
ProximateProximate causes (immediate, driven bycauses (immediate, driven by
current needs and desires)current needs and desires)
UltimateUltimate or underlying causes (e.g. poverty,or underlying causes (e.g. poverty,
population movements,population movements,
Short term and Long term (underlying) Drivers ofShort term and Long term (underlying) Drivers of
Increasing Forest-based EmissionsIncreasing Forest-based Emissions
Underlying drivers:Underlying drivers:
PovertyPoverty
Food securityFood security
Conflict (or climate)Conflict (or climate)
driven migrationdriven migration
Population growthPopulation growth
Rising expectation andRising expectation and
needsneeds
Recurrent andRecurrent and
increasing needs forincreasing needs for
energy, buildingenergy, building
materialsmaterials
Direct drivers:Direct drivers:
Expansion of agricultureExpansion of agriculture
and pasturageand pasturage
Wood extraction for fuelWood extraction for fuel
and commerceand commerce
Mining and drillingMining and drilling
Economic migrationEconomic migration
Indirect drivers:Indirect drivers:
TransportationTransportation
infrastructureinfrastructure
Increased global pricesIncreased global prices
and demand forand demand for
commoditiescommodities
MultisectoralMultisectoral Approaches to Land ManagementApproaches to Land Management
Related to REDD+Related to REDD+
OBSERVATIONS AND CONCLUSIONSOBSERVATIONS AND CONCLUSIONS
 Sustainable reduction of land based emissions willSustainable reduction of land based emissions will
require an understanding ofrequire an understanding of BOTHBOTH the proximatethe proximate
causes and underlying drivers of emissions growth.causes and underlying drivers of emissions growth.
 REDD+REDD+ andand REALUREALU are affected by both intrinsic andare affected by both intrinsic and
extrinsic factors that , to be successful, may ultimatelyextrinsic factors that , to be successful, may ultimately
require a broadrequire a broad multisectorialmultisectorial approach to climateapproach to climate
change mitigation such as through preparation ofchange mitigation such as through preparation of LowLow
Emissions Development StrategiesEmissions Development Strategies that take intothat take into
account the range of factors and will ultimately requireaccount the range of factors and will ultimately require
closeclose integration across sectorsintegration across sectors andand broad agreementbroad agreement
among constituentsamong constituents of the desired approached that willof the desired approached that will
vary among jurisdictions at scales from localvary among jurisdictions at scales from local
communities to nations and, perhaps, evencommunities to nations and, perhaps, even
multinational regions.multinational regions.
MultisectoralMultisectoral Approaches to Land ManagementApproaches to Land Management
Related to REDD+Related to REDD+
Thank you for your attention.Thank you for your attention.
Ken CreightonKen Creighton
Climate Change Specialist, Regional AdvisorClimate Change Specialist, Regional Advisor
USAID/CARPEUSAID/CARPE
kcreighton@usaid.govkcreighton@usaid.gov

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Realities of climate change in the Congo Basin

  • 1. Realities of ClimateRealities of Climate Change in the CongoChange in the Congo BasinBasin Ken Creighton, Ph.D.Ken Creighton, Ph.D. Central Africa Program forCentral Africa Program for the Environmentthe Environment (CARPE)(CARPE) kcreighton@usaid.govkcreighton@usaid.gov CIFOR Conference – Yaoundé – May 2013
  • 2. Goal: To help countries accelerate their transitionGoal: To help countries accelerate their transition to climate-resilient, low emission developmentto climate-resilient, low emission development Overarching
Principle:Overarching
Principle:



To
strengthen
developmentTo
strengthen
development outcomes
through
direct
climate
change
programoutcomes
through
direct
climate
change
program investments
and
by
integrating
climate
changeinvestments
and
by
integrating
climate
change throughout
USAID
programming,
learning,
policythroughout
USAID
programming,
learning,
policy dialogues,
and
internal
operations.dialogues,
and
internal
operations. Strategy:
Strategy:
Invest
in
land
use
practices
that
stop,
slow,Invest
in
land
use
practices
that
stop,
slow, and
reverse
emissions
from
deforestation
andand
reverse
emissions
from
deforestation
and degradation
of
forest
and
other
landscapes.degradation
of
forest
and
other
landscapes.
  • 3. Forest cover change in the Congo BasinForest cover change in the Congo Basin from 1990 to 2010from 1990 to 2010
  • 4. Multisectorial Approaches to Land ManagementMultisectorial Approaches to Land Management Related to REDD+Related to REDD+ To achieve and sustain REDD+ requires theTo achieve and sustain REDD+ requires the understanding and management of a variety ofunderstanding and management of a variety of influences that span a number of sectors:influences that span a number of sectors: Forest management and exploitationForest management and exploitation Agriculture and grazingAgriculture and grazing Transportation InfrastructureTransportation Infrastructure MiningMining Population growth and movementsPopulation growth and movements Planned and spontaneous settlements and urbanPlanned and spontaneous settlements and urban growthgrowth Conservation and management ofConservation and management of ““naturalnatural”” landscapeslandscapes
  • 5. MultisectorialMultisectorial Approaches to Land ManagementApproaches to Land Management Related to REDD+Related to REDD+ There are several different approachedThere are several different approached being tried to address thebeing tried to address the ““multisectorialmultisectorial”” nature of REDD such as:nature of REDD such as:  REDD+REDD+  Full terrestrial accounting orFull terrestrial accounting or ““REALUREALU”” (reduced emissions from all land use)(reduced emissions from all land use)  JurisdictionalJurisdictional REDD+REDD+
  • 6. MultisectoralMultisectoral Approaches to Land ManagementApproaches to Land Management Related to REDD+Related to REDD+ REDD+REDD+ Seeks to achieve overall emissionsSeeks to achieve overall emissions reductions or stabilization throughreductions or stabilization through management of carbon stocks and flows by:management of carbon stocks and flows by: Reducing deforestation and degradationReducing deforestation and degradation Improving forest management practicesImproving forest management practices Enhancing forest carbon stocks throughEnhancing forest carbon stocks through plantations and agroforestryplantations and agroforestry Maintaining carbon stocks through conservationMaintaining carbon stocks through conservation
  • 7. MultisectoralMultisectoral Approaches to Land ManagementApproaches to Land Management Related to REDD+Related to REDD+ REALUREALU:: RReducingeducing EEmissions frommissions from AAllll LLandand UUsesses Seeks to achieveSeeks to achieve overall emissions reductions oroverall emissions reductions or stabilization through management of carbon stocks andstabilization through management of carbon stocks and flows by improving land management practices across aflows by improving land management practices across a range of land usesrange of land uses with the goal to enhance the capacitywith the goal to enhance the capacity to sequester and maintain carbon stocks thoughto sequester and maintain carbon stocks though improvements in a variety of land use practices, that areimprovements in a variety of land use practices, that are aligned with local goals and aspirationsaligned with local goals and aspirations for sustainablefor sustainable development including:development including: ForestryForestry Agriculture and pastoralismAgriculture and pastoralism Planning of urban andPlanning of urban and periperi-urban settlements and-urban settlements and supporting infrastructuresupporting infrastructure
  • 8. MultisectoralMultisectoral Approaches to Land ManagementApproaches to Land Management Related to REDD+Related to REDD+ Jurisdictional REDD+Jurisdictional REDD+ Has similar goals and methods as REDD+ and REALUHas similar goals and methods as REDD+ and REALU but places thebut places the emphasis on integrated land useemphasis on integrated land use planning at the level of individual political unitsplanning at the level of individual political units suchsuch as districts, provinces, municipalities, cantons, etc.as districts, provinces, municipalities, cantons, etc. and seeks toand seeks to achieve quantifiable resultsachieve quantifiable results fromfrom implementation of appropriateimplementation of appropriate locally developed,locally developed, endorsed and adopted policiesendorsed and adopted policies, measures and, measures and practicespractices that are aligned with local priorities andthat are aligned with local priorities and aspirations and based on broad agreement reflectedaspirations and based on broad agreement reflected in local legal instruments reflecting culturallyin local legal instruments reflecting culturally accepted norms and practices.accepted norms and practices.
  • 9. MultisectoralMultisectoral Approaches to Land ManagementApproaches to Land Management Related to REDD+Related to REDD+ Drivers of deforestation, forest degradationDrivers of deforestation, forest degradation and increased land-based greenhouse gasand increased land-based greenhouse gas emissions can be divided into two types.emissions can be divided into two types. ProximateProximate causes (immediate, driven bycauses (immediate, driven by current needs and desires)current needs and desires) UltimateUltimate or underlying causes (e.g. poverty,or underlying causes (e.g. poverty, population movements,population movements,
  • 10. Short term and Long term (underlying) Drivers ofShort term and Long term (underlying) Drivers of Increasing Forest-based EmissionsIncreasing Forest-based Emissions Underlying drivers:Underlying drivers: PovertyPoverty Food securityFood security Conflict (or climate)Conflict (or climate) driven migrationdriven migration Population growthPopulation growth Rising expectation andRising expectation and needsneeds Recurrent andRecurrent and increasing needs forincreasing needs for energy, buildingenergy, building materialsmaterials Direct drivers:Direct drivers: Expansion of agricultureExpansion of agriculture and pasturageand pasturage Wood extraction for fuelWood extraction for fuel and commerceand commerce Mining and drillingMining and drilling Economic migrationEconomic migration Indirect drivers:Indirect drivers: TransportationTransportation infrastructureinfrastructure Increased global pricesIncreased global prices and demand forand demand for commoditiescommodities
  • 11. MultisectoralMultisectoral Approaches to Land ManagementApproaches to Land Management Related to REDD+Related to REDD+ OBSERVATIONS AND CONCLUSIONSOBSERVATIONS AND CONCLUSIONS  Sustainable reduction of land based emissions willSustainable reduction of land based emissions will require an understanding ofrequire an understanding of BOTHBOTH the proximatethe proximate causes and underlying drivers of emissions growth.causes and underlying drivers of emissions growth.  REDD+REDD+ andand REALUREALU are affected by both intrinsic andare affected by both intrinsic and extrinsic factors that , to be successful, may ultimatelyextrinsic factors that , to be successful, may ultimately require a broadrequire a broad multisectorialmultisectorial approach to climateapproach to climate change mitigation such as through preparation ofchange mitigation such as through preparation of LowLow Emissions Development StrategiesEmissions Development Strategies that take intothat take into account the range of factors and will ultimately requireaccount the range of factors and will ultimately require closeclose integration across sectorsintegration across sectors andand broad agreementbroad agreement among constituentsamong constituents of the desired approached that willof the desired approached that will vary among jurisdictions at scales from localvary among jurisdictions at scales from local communities to nations and, perhaps, evencommunities to nations and, perhaps, even multinational regions.multinational regions.
  • 12. MultisectoralMultisectoral Approaches to Land ManagementApproaches to Land Management Related to REDD+Related to REDD+ Thank you for your attention.Thank you for your attention. Ken CreightonKen Creighton Climate Change Specialist, Regional AdvisorClimate Change Specialist, Regional Advisor USAID/CARPEUSAID/CARPE kcreighton@usaid.govkcreighton@usaid.gov