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SomReP Impact Pathways
for Economic Growth
through Agricultural
Transformation
ACP Secretariat, Avenue Georges Henri 451
1200 Brussels
Belgium
Wednesday, June 27th, 2018
Dr Katharine Downie
Head of Quality Assurance, M&E, Knowledge Management
and Innovation for the Somalia Resilience Program (SomReP)
Katharine_Downie@wvi.org
2
The SomReP
Positive Deviance
Study
Section I
Research
Goals and
Objectives
To characterize the attributes of households which
could be classified as “positive deviants” (those
demonstrating coping strategies or well-being
indicators, beyond those of the general community)
to better understand the behaviours and practices of
these successful exceptions.
Examine the effect of hypothesized “high impact”
activities for both participating households and the
community in general:
• Village Savings and Loans Associations (VSLAs)
• Community Animal Health Workers (CAHWs)
• Installed or rehabilitated water assets
• Early Warning Early Action (EWEA) systems and/or
Community-Based Disaster Risk Management (CBDRM)
Positive Deviance
Study
Targeted
Districts for
Positive
Deviance
Study
Positive Deviance
Study
Overview of
the Study
Design
• August 2017
• 20 communities across the 6 districts
• FGDs and KIIs using semi-structured
guide with general community, VSLA
members, community leaders, those
identified by community and staff as
potential positive deviants (individuals and
groups) (total 407 participants across 43
FGDs and 27 KIIs)
• Explore traits indicative of positive
deviance, the role of VSLAs and other
SomReP/project activities in relation to
positive deviance
Qualitative Field
Work
Positive Deviance
Study
Overview of
the Study
Design
• September/October 2017
• 40 communities across the 6 districts
(2175 observations)
• Household survey via computer-assisted
telephone interviewing (CATI) using ODK
and Ona
• 8 modules excluding consent and closure
• Household characteristics, shock
exposure and coping, access to services
and information, project participation, FCS,
HFIAS and rCSI
Quantitative
Survey
Positive Deviance
Study
Qualitative Findings
Role of Savings
• Savings seen as essential
• To prepare for drought
• To withstand the effects of the drought for a longer period
• To recover from the drought
“They were prepared for the drought and had savings to allow them to go
the extra mile in their response.”
• Savings allow people to:
• Maintain their livelihoods during drought or expand their livelihoods in good
times
• Manage their livestock and farm assets more favorably
• Help others during the drought
• Take early action to recover
Positive Deviance Study
8
Findings
from
Quantitative
Household
Participation in
SomReP Activities
Positive Deviance
Study
• Households participating in at least 1 SomReP
activity of interest correlated with improved food
security and reduced reliance on negative coping
mechanisms
• This statement holds true when accounting for other
factors such as wealth, livelihood zone, and
demographic status
• Specific activity participation:
• VSLA participants, households and communities
participating in water access activities had better
food security (FCS, HHS scores)
• Households participating in EWEA/CBDRM
improved food consumption (FCS)
Findings
from
Quantitative
• The more SomReP activities that a household
participated in, the better their food security
(FCS)
• Communities with active VSLAs had overall
better food security scores (FCS, HHS
scores) and demonstrated fewer negative coping
strategies (rCSI scores)
• Presence also correlates with improved
recovery/resilience after drought
• Significant association with food security (FCS,
HHS scores) and coping (rCSI scores) for
communities with:
• Trained active CAHWs available
• EWEA committees or CBDRM activities
Community
Exposure to
SomReP Activities
Positive Deviance
Study
Findings
from
Quantitative
Characteristics of households with better
well-being outcomes (FCS, HHS scores)
and better coping behaviour (rCSI scores)
• Higher level of education of female
head/spouse
• Main source of drinking water is from a
berkad
• Main source of income is from farm/crop
production and sales
• Use of private, flush toilet
Household
Characteristics
Associated with
Improved Well-
being and Better
Coping Behaviour
Positive Deviance
Study
SomReP Impact
Pathways for Phase II -
Agriculture for Economic
Growth in Fragile States
Section II
13
14
15
16
Push and Pull for Inclusive Market Growth and
Participation
PUSH Strategies - build capacities of smallholders to
engage in markets, become competitive – attract
private sector engagement
PULL Strategies - facilitate the development of market
systems in a manner that expands the diversity and
quality of opportunities accessible to the very poor to
engage more successfully in the economy—be it as a
producer, laborer, employee, business owner, etc., or a
mixture of these.
Agriculture for Economic Growth in Fragile States
17
PUSH Strategies
•Build household or community assets
•Build demand-driven livelihoods and
‘market readiness’ skills
•Improve ‘soft’ skills such as confidence,
negotiating, or relationship building
•Create less risky entry points for
households
Agriculture for Economic Growth in Fragile States
18
PULL Strategies
•Lower barriers to market entry for both market
actors and households
•Build the middle section of the value chain
(traders, aggregators, preprocessors)
•Create new streams of income
•Help build demand for specific markets
•Ensure an enabling policy and regulatory
environment
Agriculture for Economic Growth in Fragile States
19
Key Features of a Push/Pull Approach
1. Embraces a systems approach to analysis and design, recognizing that
many systems—market systems, household systems, gender systems,
religious systems, etc.—influence change.
2. Informed by market demand, increases capacities (such as assets, skills,
networks, behaviors) of the extreme poor to gainfully participate in
markets (i.e., the ‘push’); and promotes development of market systems
to expand the quality and diversity of opportunities extreme and very
poor households have for such participation (i.e., the ‘pull’).
3. Uses sequencing, phasing and/or layering of interventions to
incrementally link together push and pull strategic efforts.
4. Requires a knowledge management system (e.g., M&E data, analysis,
internal learning, ‘feedback loops’) that facilitates adaptive programming
and learning, in support of the theory of change
Agriculture for Economic Growth in Fragile States
20
21
Challenges to Achieving
Impact Through Scale in
Agriculture for Economic
Growth in Fragile States
Section III
22
Challenges
to Achieving
Impact
Through
Scale
• NGOs often lack technical capacity to successfully
source and implement agricultural innovations
and technologies
• Research scientists are tasked with showing
impact, but are not adept at working
downstream in application
• Must have uptake and adoption of agricultural
technologies by smallholders in order to achieve
the scale which will result in impact
• Brokering service required to bring researchers,
private sector and farmers together
Agriculture for Economic Growth in Fragile States
23
Brussels Briefing 51: Katharine Downie "Building resilience to mitigate the effects of future shocks in the agricultural sector in Somalia"

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Brussels Briefing 51: Katharine Downie "Building resilience to mitigate the effects of future shocks in the agricultural sector in Somalia"

  • 1. SomReP Impact Pathways for Economic Growth through Agricultural Transformation ACP Secretariat, Avenue Georges Henri 451 1200 Brussels Belgium Wednesday, June 27th, 2018 Dr Katharine Downie Head of Quality Assurance, M&E, Knowledge Management and Innovation for the Somalia Resilience Program (SomReP) Katharine_Downie@wvi.org
  • 3. Research Goals and Objectives To characterize the attributes of households which could be classified as “positive deviants” (those demonstrating coping strategies or well-being indicators, beyond those of the general community) to better understand the behaviours and practices of these successful exceptions. Examine the effect of hypothesized “high impact” activities for both participating households and the community in general: • Village Savings and Loans Associations (VSLAs) • Community Animal Health Workers (CAHWs) • Installed or rehabilitated water assets • Early Warning Early Action (EWEA) systems and/or Community-Based Disaster Risk Management (CBDRM) Positive Deviance Study
  • 5. Overview of the Study Design • August 2017 • 20 communities across the 6 districts • FGDs and KIIs using semi-structured guide with general community, VSLA members, community leaders, those identified by community and staff as potential positive deviants (individuals and groups) (total 407 participants across 43 FGDs and 27 KIIs) • Explore traits indicative of positive deviance, the role of VSLAs and other SomReP/project activities in relation to positive deviance Qualitative Field Work Positive Deviance Study
  • 6. Overview of the Study Design • September/October 2017 • 40 communities across the 6 districts (2175 observations) • Household survey via computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CATI) using ODK and Ona • 8 modules excluding consent and closure • Household characteristics, shock exposure and coping, access to services and information, project participation, FCS, HFIAS and rCSI Quantitative Survey Positive Deviance Study
  • 7. Qualitative Findings Role of Savings • Savings seen as essential • To prepare for drought • To withstand the effects of the drought for a longer period • To recover from the drought “They were prepared for the drought and had savings to allow them to go the extra mile in their response.” • Savings allow people to: • Maintain their livelihoods during drought or expand their livelihoods in good times • Manage their livestock and farm assets more favorably • Help others during the drought • Take early action to recover Positive Deviance Study
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  • 9. Findings from Quantitative Household Participation in SomReP Activities Positive Deviance Study • Households participating in at least 1 SomReP activity of interest correlated with improved food security and reduced reliance on negative coping mechanisms • This statement holds true when accounting for other factors such as wealth, livelihood zone, and demographic status • Specific activity participation: • VSLA participants, households and communities participating in water access activities had better food security (FCS, HHS scores) • Households participating in EWEA/CBDRM improved food consumption (FCS)
  • 10. Findings from Quantitative • The more SomReP activities that a household participated in, the better their food security (FCS) • Communities with active VSLAs had overall better food security scores (FCS, HHS scores) and demonstrated fewer negative coping strategies (rCSI scores) • Presence also correlates with improved recovery/resilience after drought • Significant association with food security (FCS, HHS scores) and coping (rCSI scores) for communities with: • Trained active CAHWs available • EWEA committees or CBDRM activities Community Exposure to SomReP Activities Positive Deviance Study
  • 11. Findings from Quantitative Characteristics of households with better well-being outcomes (FCS, HHS scores) and better coping behaviour (rCSI scores) • Higher level of education of female head/spouse • Main source of drinking water is from a berkad • Main source of income is from farm/crop production and sales • Use of private, flush toilet Household Characteristics Associated with Improved Well- being and Better Coping Behaviour Positive Deviance Study
  • 12. SomReP Impact Pathways for Phase II - Agriculture for Economic Growth in Fragile States Section II
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  • 16. 16 Push and Pull for Inclusive Market Growth and Participation PUSH Strategies - build capacities of smallholders to engage in markets, become competitive – attract private sector engagement PULL Strategies - facilitate the development of market systems in a manner that expands the diversity and quality of opportunities accessible to the very poor to engage more successfully in the economy—be it as a producer, laborer, employee, business owner, etc., or a mixture of these. Agriculture for Economic Growth in Fragile States
  • 17. 17 PUSH Strategies •Build household or community assets •Build demand-driven livelihoods and ‘market readiness’ skills •Improve ‘soft’ skills such as confidence, negotiating, or relationship building •Create less risky entry points for households Agriculture for Economic Growth in Fragile States
  • 18. 18 PULL Strategies •Lower barriers to market entry for both market actors and households •Build the middle section of the value chain (traders, aggregators, preprocessors) •Create new streams of income •Help build demand for specific markets •Ensure an enabling policy and regulatory environment Agriculture for Economic Growth in Fragile States
  • 19. 19 Key Features of a Push/Pull Approach 1. Embraces a systems approach to analysis and design, recognizing that many systems—market systems, household systems, gender systems, religious systems, etc.—influence change. 2. Informed by market demand, increases capacities (such as assets, skills, networks, behaviors) of the extreme poor to gainfully participate in markets (i.e., the ‘push’); and promotes development of market systems to expand the quality and diversity of opportunities extreme and very poor households have for such participation (i.e., the ‘pull’). 3. Uses sequencing, phasing and/or layering of interventions to incrementally link together push and pull strategic efforts. 4. Requires a knowledge management system (e.g., M&E data, analysis, internal learning, ‘feedback loops’) that facilitates adaptive programming and learning, in support of the theory of change Agriculture for Economic Growth in Fragile States
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  • 21. 21 Challenges to Achieving Impact Through Scale in Agriculture for Economic Growth in Fragile States Section III
  • 22. 22 Challenges to Achieving Impact Through Scale • NGOs often lack technical capacity to successfully source and implement agricultural innovations and technologies • Research scientists are tasked with showing impact, but are not adept at working downstream in application • Must have uptake and adoption of agricultural technologies by smallholders in order to achieve the scale which will result in impact • Brokering service required to bring researchers, private sector and farmers together Agriculture for Economic Growth in Fragile States
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Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Qualitative field work timing, scope and purpose
  2. Quantitative survey timing, scope and purpose
  3. Focuses on the role of savings (both as members of a savings group and for those who save but who are not SG members)
  4. Background on these statements: Mean value comparisons, two-sided t-tests for project exposure with well-being indicators Correlations between well-being outcomes and at least one Project Exposure (self-reported at hh level) FCS – p-value 0.0000, coefficient 0.2299* HHS – p-value 0.000, coefficient -0.2243* rCSI – p-value 0.000, coefficient -0.1387* Correlations between number of Projects exposed to (self-reported at hh level) (values ranging from 0-5) and well-being outcomes FCS – p-value 0.0000, coefficient 0.2740* (linear relationship) For HHS and RCSI, on the other hand, it seems that if the number of activities exposed to is 0, then the value is higher (meaning lower food security), but then the number of activities exposed to beyond that does not seem to matter as much (no linear relationship). Activity participation VSLA Benefitted FCS – p-value 0, coefficient 0.1287* HHS – p-value 0.0108, coefficient -0.0550* Water Access FCS – p-value 0, coefficient 0.1702* HHS – p-value 0.0022, coefficient -0.0661* EWEA/CBDRM FCS – p-value 0.0016 coefficient 0.0675*
  5. Background on these statements: Mean value comparisons, two-sided t-tests for project exposure as reported by IP with well-being indicators, project exposure as reported by hh with recovery Exposure as reported by IP (not self-reported by respondents) VSLAs active in community FCS – p-value 0.0000, coefficient 0.1981* HHS – p-value 0.0000, coefficient -0.2522* rCSI – p-value 0.0000, coefficient -0.1929* Self-reported recovery – p-value 0.0010, coefficient 0.0766* Trained CAHWs available FCS – p-value 0.0000, coefficient 0.1612* HHS – p-value 0.0000, coefficient -0.2654* rCSI – p-value 0.0000, coefficient -0.2590* EWEA/CBDRM FCS – p-value 0.0000, coefficient 0.2031* HHS – p-value 0.0000, coefficient -0.3082* rCSI – p-value 0.0000, coefficient -0.2626* Self-reported recovery – p-value 0.0184, coefficient 0.0551* Water Asset FCS – p-value 0.0038, coefficient 0.0619* HHS – p-value 0.0025, coefficient -0.0651* rCSI – NOT SIGNIFICANT Self-reported recovery – p-value 0, coefficient 0.0980*
  6. both not having a toilet and using mainly firewood as the source of cooking fuel are associated with reduced well-being outcomes and reduced food security (negative correlation with FCS, positive with HHS and rCSI). Background on these statements: Mean value comparisons, two-sided t-tests for household characteristics and each of the well-being indicators Level of education of female head/spouse FCS – p-value 0.0166 , coefficient 0.0518* HHS – p-value 0.0151, coefficient -0.0524* rCSI – p-value 0.0009, coefficient -0.0717* Source of water is berkad FCS – p-value 0, coefficient 0.0924* HHS – p-value 0, coefficient -0.1429* rCSI – p-value 0, coefficient -0.1327* Main source of income farm/crop production and sales FCS – p-value 0.0417, coefficient 0.0437* HHS – p-value 0.0004, coefficient -0.0758* rCSI – p-value 0.0019, coefficient -0.0666* Use of private flush toilet FCS – p-value 0, coefficient 0.2009* HHS – p-value 0, coefficient -0.1634* rCSI – p-value 0, coefficient -0.1846*