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Daniel Knapp
IHS Markit
May 2017
The data and charts shown in this
report cannot be used without the
expressed permission of IAB Europe
and IHS Markit
A meta-analysis of online ad spend in Europe
RATECARD
Campaigns x
Ratecard
GROSS
Spend Billed
NET
Revenue Billed
No Agency commissions
Data for 27 countries in Europe
• Austria
• Belgium
• Belarus
• Bulgaria
• Czech Republic
• Croatia
• Denmark
• Finland
• France
• Germany
• Greece
• Hungary
• Ireland
• Italy
• Netherlands
• Norway
• Poland
• Russia
• Romania
• Serbia
• Slovakia
• Slovenia
• Spain
• Sweden
• Switzerland
• Turkey
• UK
About the data
This market sizing is based on the following methods:
• Reported data from local IABs
• Estimates by local IABs based on local insight
• Estimates by local IABs in collaboration with IHS Markit
• Estimates & actuals by IHS Markit based on the IHS Advertising Intelligence
Service & macro-economic research group
Big Picture
Europe: the value of online advertising in 2016
€41.8bn
Eurozone macroeconomic environment has stabilised after two recessions
and holds firm despite political uncertainty
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
2004Q1
2004Q3
2005Q1
2005Q3
2006Q1
2006Q3
2007Q1
2007Q3
2008Q1
2008Q3
2009Q1
2009Q3
2010Q1
2010Q3
2011Q1
2011Q3
2012Q1
2012Q3
2013Q1
2013Q3
2014Q1
2014Q3
2015Q1
2015Q3
2016Q1
2016Q3
2017Q1
Eurozone France Germany Italy Spain
GDP growth in Eurozone (%)
Source: IHS Markit © 2017 IHS Markit
Growth
Online advertising grew by 12.2% in 2016
37.1
41.8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2015 2016
Online advertising spend in Europe (€bn)
€35.2bn net addition in 11 years of this study….
6.6
9.2
14.5 15.8
18.8
21.9
24.4
28.6
32.1
37.1*
41.8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Total online ad spend: historical perspective€35.2bn
*restated from €36bn as measured in 2015 due to methodology change at local IABs
…as online offsets losses of traditional media, establishing a new
advertising market high for the first time since the 2009 recession
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Traditional vs Online Advertising (€bn)
Other Media Online
€111.4bn €112.6bn
Peak
‘traditional’
media
New market
high (+€1.2bn)
Recessionary
market low
Historical
market high
Flat market
Online growth
offsets decline
”Plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose”: consistency in growth rates
over past five years despite fundamental market restructure
39.0%
58.6%
8.9%
18.6%
16.5%
11.5% 11.9% 11.6% 13.1% 12.2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Historical online advertising market growth
Maximum 1.3ppt variation in
growth over the past 5 years
Online expands its lead over other media categories*
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Cinema
Radio
OOH
Print
TV
Online
2016 2015
Ad spend by category in Europe in 2015 and 2016 (€bn)
Source: IHS Markit © 2017 IHS Markit
*broadcaster online video accounted for in the
‘online’ category. TV is linear TV advertising only.
Markets
After four year period of growing concentration on top markets, the long-
tail of smaller markets increases its overall share for the first time
57.3%
56.9%
58.8%
60.4%
58.0%
69.4%
69.9%
70.8%
70.5%
69.8%
77.9%
78.2%
78.8%
78.4%
77.7%
86.6%
86.4%
86.5%
86.4%
86.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Share of European Online Advertising Revenue by Market Group
Top 3 Top 5 Top 7 Top 10
934
946
1,604
1,622
1,689
2,295
2,640
4,175
5,950
14,181
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000
Switzerland
Belgium
Sweden
Spain
Netherlands
Italy
Russia
France
Germany
UK
Top 10 Markets Ranked
2016 2015
UK is 2.4x Germany
UK as big as next 3 markets combined
Top 8 in stable ranking, Belgium & Switzerland move up, UK maintains
lead over other markets
Growth is mostly lead by smaller CEE markets
36.9%
33.2%
31.4%
23.6%
22.9%
22.5%
22.3%
21.8%
19.3%
17.5%
14.6%
13.5%
13.4%
13.4%
12.2%
11.6%
11.5%
11.3%
10.1%
9.6%
7.0%
6.4%
6.2%
5.8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Romania
Slovenia
Ireland
Slovakia
Bulgaria
Hungary
Spain
Sweden
Russia
Serbia
Poland
Turkey
UK
Switzerland
EuropeanAverage
Austria
Greece
Netherlands
Italy
Denmark
France
Germany
Belgium
Finland
Online Advertising YoY Growth 2016
Bulgaria
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Ireland
Italy
Netherlands
Norway
Poland
Romania
Russia
Serbia
Slovenia
Spain
Austria
Belgium
Sweden
Switzerland
Turkey UK
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
- 50 100 150 200
Most advanced and least mature markets grow faster, tight grouping
among Western European markets
Year-on-yeargrowth
European average lines
online ad spend per capita
Bulgaria
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Ireland
Italy
Netherlands
Norway
Poland
Romania
Russia
Serbia
Slovenia
Spain
Austria
Belgium
Sweden
Switzerland
Turkey UK
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
- 50 100 150 200
Three distinct patterns emerge
online ad spend per capita
Year-on-yeargrowth
European average lines
What enables & hinders growth according to local IABs?
Drivers
• Programmatic & automation
• e- and m-commerce
• Rise of online video consumption
• Premium video inventory
• Improvement in ad quality
• Mobile-first advertiser mentality
• Social platforms
• Native
• E-Sports
• Consolidation
Hurdles
• Ad blocking
• Fraud
• Complexity of value chain
• Brand safety
• Privacy & regulation
• Measurement (esp. omniscreen video)
• Cross-funnel and cross-media attribution
• Turning data into insight
• Adapting desktop ads to mobile
– High production costs
– Structural barriers
• Platform distribution & monetization
• Macroeconomic environment and adverse political
conditions
Formats
€5bn added in total, over half of that coming from display
13,877 16,187
6,049
6,501
16,915
19,106
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
2015 2016
Online Advertising Spend by
Format (€m)*
Display Classifieds & Directories Search
2,309
452
2,191
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Display Classifieds &
Directories
Search
Net additions 2016 (€m)*
2015 2016 net additions
*Not like-for-like 2015 vs 2016 due to methodology changes in
Croatia & Czech Republic. Growth rate cannot be calculated.
Please use 12.2% like-for-like growth rate. Excludes small
number of ‘other’ that was reported without format designation.
Display has been the fastest growing format for the past three years, but
classifieds & directories and search experience growing vibrancy
15.2%
5.8%
10.8%
11.6%
17.4%
4.9%
12.6% 13.1%
13.8%
7.3%
12.9%
12.20%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
Display Classifieds & Directories Search Total
Online Advertising Growth Rates By Format
2014 2015 2016
Search maintains lead, but display increases share
34.1% 36.6% 36.6%
47.3% 48.0% 47.1% 48.8% 49.2% 46.7% 46.7% 46.3%
18.3% 14.9% 18.9%
18.9% 20.7% 19.6% 18.5% 16.8%
15.6% 16.4% 15.7%
47.6% 48.5% 44.5%
33.8% 31.3% 33.3% 32.7% 34.0% 37.7% 36.9% 38.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Online Advertising Spend Split by Format
Search Classifieds & Directories Display
13 markets grow above European average, incl. 4 out of the top 10
markets by size, but spectrum of growth between markets is vast
45.4%
41.3%
38.1%
29.3%
29.0%
24.7%
24.1%
20.4%
19.6%
17.8%
17.6%
15.5%
14.6%
13.8%
13.0%
11.3%
11.3%
11.0%
10.7%
9.6%
6.5%
6.5%
5.9%
3.1%
1.0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Ireland
Slovenia
Romania
Slovakia
Bulgaria
Hungary
Spain
Russia
Austria
Serbia
Poland
UK
France
EuropeanAverage
Sweden
Italy
Netherlands
Greece
Turkey
Denmark
Finland
Germany
Belgium
Switzerland
Norway
Online Display Growth 2016 by Country*
incl. video. Desktop & Mobile. Excl. Croatia & Czech Republic as
methodology change does not allow growth calculations.
Uneven picture across Europe as classifieds & directories benefit from
consolidation, but shift to display-based ad model
*excl. Croatia as methodology change does not allow growth calculations.
20.5%
19.0%
18.0%
16.4%
16.3%
10.6%
10.6%
9.9%
8.9%
7.8%
7.5%
7.3%
6.2%
6.1%
6.1%
5.8%
3.6%
3.6%
2.0%
1.9%
1.6%
0.4%
-0.1%
-0.4%
-4.8%
-25.7%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30% Hungary
Serbia
Poland
Italy
Slovakia
Germany
Russia
Switzerland
Netherlands
UK
Denmark
EuropeanAverage
Turkey
Belgium
Spain
Bulgaria
Greece
Ireland
Romania
France
Finland
Sweden
Norway
Austria
CzechRepublic
Slovenia
Online Classifieds & Directories Growth 2016 by Country*
19 markets saw double-digit growth in paid-for-search
44.9%
36.1%
28.0%
27.5%
25.1%
21.4%
21.0%
20.8%
20.7%
20.1%
19.2%
18.9%
15.0%
14.4%
12.9%
12.4%
12.2%
12.0%
10.1%
9.0%
8.0%
7.6%
7.3%
6.5%
6.4%
5.0%
4.3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Slovenia
Sweden
Romania
CzechRepublic
Ireland
Russia
Hungary
Switzerland
Spain
Turkey
Norway
Croatia
Serbia
UK
EuropeanAverage
Slovakia
Netherlands
Greece
Denmark
Poland
Austria
Belgium
Bulgaria
Finland
Italy
Germany
France
Search Growth 2016 by Country
Mobile shares of format leap by nearly10 percentage points year-on-year
26.8%
23.9% 24.7%
36.0%
32.2% 33.3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Mobile share of display Mobile share of search Mobile share of total
Mobile share of online ad spend by format*
2015 2016
*only countries which reported both mobile display & mobile search considered
A €3bn market, video now is a vital component of online display…
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Switzerland
Belgium
Bulgaria
Italy
Croatia
Ireland
Sweden
CzechRepublic
Spain
France
Germany
Netherlands
EuropeanAverage
Turkey
UK
Austria
Finland
Greece
Russia
Slovenia
Poland
Denmark
Norway
Serbia
Hungary
Romania
Video Share of Online Display 2016
Total: €2.9bn
…and growth is near universally double-digit within 3 clusters
122.0%
102.6%
91.8%
48.0%
46.0%
33.6%
27.6%
26.8%
26.3%
26.0%
25.0%
24.6%
21.1%
19.6%
19.4%
17.4%
15.2%
13.9%
13.9%
11.9%
11.7%
11.0%
10.4%
1.2%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
Slovenia
Serbia
Ireland
Denmark
Italy
Turkey
Spain
Sweden
Austria
Netherlands
Belgium
Romania
EuropeanAverage
Bulgaria
Germany
Finland
Russia
Norway
Switzerland
UK
France
Greece
Hungary
Poland
Online Video Advertising Growth 2016
+/- 10ppt range of averagegrowth leaders challengers
Mobile display is highly concentrated, but 13 out of 22 countries
measured grew faster than the market leader*
2,645
677
606
258
178
168
139
129
124
107
100
66
51
49
39
25
24
5
4
1
1
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
UK
France
Italy
Germany
Norway
Sweden
Netherlands
Russia
Turkey
Poland
Ireland
Finland
CzechRepublic
Spain
Denmark
Hungary
Austria
Serbia
Romania
Bulgaria
Croatia
Mobile Display Advertising 2016
(€bn)
327.0%
191.3%
156.3%
156.3%
107.7%
89.5%
88.0%
86.6%
85.1%
72.6%
64.4%
53.3%
51.9%
51.6%
45.3%
37.3%
36.7%
34.7%
33.4%
30.9%
26.6%
26.5%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
Serbia
Romania
CzechRepublic
Turkey
France
Ireland
Croatia
Russia
Bulgaria
Hungary
Poland
EuropeanAverage
Denmark
Italy
UK
Sweden
Austria
Netherlands
Finland
Spain
Norway
Germany
Mobile Display Advertising
Growth 2016
*4 countries did not report mobile display
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
UK
France
Italy
Germany
Norway
Sweden
Netherlands
Russia
Turkey
Poland
Top Mobile Display
+2 ranks vs
all display
Market leaders are not created equal: the top 10 ranking by display
market size looks different in mobile and video
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
UK
Italy
Germany
France
Spain
Belgium
Netherlands
Sweden
Russia
CzechRepublic
Top Video
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
UK
Germany
France
Italy
Spain
Russia
Netherlands
Sweden
Belgium
Poland
Top All Display
Only in
mobile Only in
mobile
+1 rank vs
all display
-2 ranks vs
all display
+1 rank vs
all display
Only in
video
-3 ranks vs
all display
+2 ranks vs
all display
+3 ranks vs
all display
Not in top
mobile
Not in top
video
Not in top
mobile
Desktop banner is decline as video and mobile power growth
-35%
-25%
-15%
-5%
5%
15%
25%
35%
45%
Ireland
Slovenia
Romania
Slovakia
Bulgaria
Hungary
Spain
Russia
Austria
Serbia
Poland
UK
France
Europeanaverage
Sweden
Italy
Netherlands
Greece
Turkey
Denmark
Finland
Germany
Belgium
Switzerland
Norway
Display growth composition in 2016
all display excl. mobile excl. mobile & video
Desktop banner is decline as video and mobile power growth
-35%
-25%
-15%
-5%
5%
15%
25%
35%
45%
Ireland
Slovenia
Romania
Slovakia
Bulgaria
Hungary
Spain
Russia
Austria
Serbia
Poland
UK
France
Europeanaverage
Sweden
Italy
Netherlands
Greece
Turkey
Denmark
Finland
Germany
Belgium
Switzerland
Norway
Display growth composition in 2016
all display excl. mobile excl. mobile & video
Desktop banner is decline as video and mobile power growth
-35%
-25%
-15%
-5%
5%
15%
25%
35%
45%
Ireland
Slovenia
Romania
Slovakia
Bulgaria
Hungary
Spain
Russia
Austria
Serbia
Poland
UK
France
Europeanaverage
Sweden
Italy
Netherlands
Greece
Turkey
Denmark
Finland
Germany
Belgium
Switzerland
Norway
Display growth composition in 2016
all display excl. mobile excl. mobile & video
Outlook for 2017
• We expect approximately +10% growth over 2016
• Concentration of growth among fewer players will accelerate
• Video will become the primary battleground for consumer attention
• Live video set to focus on sports and UGC
• E-Sports advertising is gaining traction
• Audio is increasingly attractive to marketers
• Mobile-first becomes AI-first (but promise & practice are far apart)
• Regulation will have a material impact on the future health of the market
Contact:
Alison Fennah – fennah@iabeurope.eu
Marie-Clare Puffett – puffett@iabeurope.eu
Daniel Knapp – daniel.knapp@ihsmarkit.com
Qingzhen (Jessie) Chen – jessie.chen@ihsmarkit.com
Connect with us:
@IABEurope IAB Europe
www.iabeurope.eu www.technology.ihs.com
@IHS4Tech

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AdEx Benchmark 2016 IAB Europe

  • 2. The data and charts shown in this report cannot be used without the expressed permission of IAB Europe and IHS Markit
  • 3. A meta-analysis of online ad spend in Europe RATECARD Campaigns x Ratecard GROSS Spend Billed NET Revenue Billed No Agency commissions
  • 4. Data for 27 countries in Europe • Austria • Belgium • Belarus • Bulgaria • Czech Republic • Croatia • Denmark • Finland • France • Germany • Greece • Hungary • Ireland • Italy • Netherlands • Norway • Poland • Russia • Romania • Serbia • Slovakia • Slovenia • Spain • Sweden • Switzerland • Turkey • UK
  • 5. About the data This market sizing is based on the following methods: • Reported data from local IABs • Estimates by local IABs based on local insight • Estimates by local IABs in collaboration with IHS Markit • Estimates & actuals by IHS Markit based on the IHS Advertising Intelligence Service & macro-economic research group
  • 7. Europe: the value of online advertising in 2016 €41.8bn
  • 8. Eurozone macroeconomic environment has stabilised after two recessions and holds firm despite political uncertainty -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 2004Q1 2004Q3 2005Q1 2005Q3 2006Q1 2006Q3 2007Q1 2007Q3 2008Q1 2008Q3 2009Q1 2009Q3 2010Q1 2010Q3 2011Q1 2011Q3 2012Q1 2012Q3 2013Q1 2013Q3 2014Q1 2014Q3 2015Q1 2015Q3 2016Q1 2016Q3 2017Q1 Eurozone France Germany Italy Spain GDP growth in Eurozone (%) Source: IHS Markit © 2017 IHS Markit Growth
  • 9. Online advertising grew by 12.2% in 2016 37.1 41.8 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 2015 2016 Online advertising spend in Europe (€bn)
  • 10. €35.2bn net addition in 11 years of this study…. 6.6 9.2 14.5 15.8 18.8 21.9 24.4 28.6 32.1 37.1* 41.8 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Total online ad spend: historical perspective€35.2bn *restated from €36bn as measured in 2015 due to methodology change at local IABs
  • 11. …as online offsets losses of traditional media, establishing a new advertising market high for the first time since the 2009 recession 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Traditional vs Online Advertising (€bn) Other Media Online €111.4bn €112.6bn Peak ‘traditional’ media New market high (+€1.2bn) Recessionary market low Historical market high Flat market Online growth offsets decline
  • 12. ”Plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose”: consistency in growth rates over past five years despite fundamental market restructure 39.0% 58.6% 8.9% 18.6% 16.5% 11.5% 11.9% 11.6% 13.1% 12.2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Historical online advertising market growth Maximum 1.3ppt variation in growth over the past 5 years
  • 13. Online expands its lead over other media categories* 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Cinema Radio OOH Print TV Online 2016 2015 Ad spend by category in Europe in 2015 and 2016 (€bn) Source: IHS Markit © 2017 IHS Markit *broadcaster online video accounted for in the ‘online’ category. TV is linear TV advertising only.
  • 15. After four year period of growing concentration on top markets, the long- tail of smaller markets increases its overall share for the first time 57.3% 56.9% 58.8% 60.4% 58.0% 69.4% 69.9% 70.8% 70.5% 69.8% 77.9% 78.2% 78.8% 78.4% 77.7% 86.6% 86.4% 86.5% 86.4% 86.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Share of European Online Advertising Revenue by Market Group Top 3 Top 5 Top 7 Top 10
  • 16. 934 946 1,604 1,622 1,689 2,295 2,640 4,175 5,950 14,181 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 Switzerland Belgium Sweden Spain Netherlands Italy Russia France Germany UK Top 10 Markets Ranked 2016 2015 UK is 2.4x Germany UK as big as next 3 markets combined Top 8 in stable ranking, Belgium & Switzerland move up, UK maintains lead over other markets
  • 17. Growth is mostly lead by smaller CEE markets 36.9% 33.2% 31.4% 23.6% 22.9% 22.5% 22.3% 21.8% 19.3% 17.5% 14.6% 13.5% 13.4% 13.4% 12.2% 11.6% 11.5% 11.3% 10.1% 9.6% 7.0% 6.4% 6.2% 5.8% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Romania Slovenia Ireland Slovakia Bulgaria Hungary Spain Sweden Russia Serbia Poland Turkey UK Switzerland EuropeanAverage Austria Greece Netherlands Italy Denmark France Germany Belgium Finland Online Advertising YoY Growth 2016
  • 18. Bulgaria Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Netherlands Norway Poland Romania Russia Serbia Slovenia Spain Austria Belgium Sweden Switzerland Turkey UK 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% - 50 100 150 200 Most advanced and least mature markets grow faster, tight grouping among Western European markets Year-on-yeargrowth European average lines online ad spend per capita
  • 20. What enables & hinders growth according to local IABs? Drivers • Programmatic & automation • e- and m-commerce • Rise of online video consumption • Premium video inventory • Improvement in ad quality • Mobile-first advertiser mentality • Social platforms • Native • E-Sports • Consolidation Hurdles • Ad blocking • Fraud • Complexity of value chain • Brand safety • Privacy & regulation • Measurement (esp. omniscreen video) • Cross-funnel and cross-media attribution • Turning data into insight • Adapting desktop ads to mobile – High production costs – Structural barriers • Platform distribution & monetization • Macroeconomic environment and adverse political conditions
  • 22. €5bn added in total, over half of that coming from display 13,877 16,187 6,049 6,501 16,915 19,106 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 2015 2016 Online Advertising Spend by Format (€m)* Display Classifieds & Directories Search 2,309 452 2,191 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 Display Classifieds & Directories Search Net additions 2016 (€m)* 2015 2016 net additions *Not like-for-like 2015 vs 2016 due to methodology changes in Croatia & Czech Republic. Growth rate cannot be calculated. Please use 12.2% like-for-like growth rate. Excludes small number of ‘other’ that was reported without format designation.
  • 23. Display has been the fastest growing format for the past three years, but classifieds & directories and search experience growing vibrancy 15.2% 5.8% 10.8% 11.6% 17.4% 4.9% 12.6% 13.1% 13.8% 7.3% 12.9% 12.20% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% Display Classifieds & Directories Search Total Online Advertising Growth Rates By Format 2014 2015 2016
  • 24. Search maintains lead, but display increases share 34.1% 36.6% 36.6% 47.3% 48.0% 47.1% 48.8% 49.2% 46.7% 46.7% 46.3% 18.3% 14.9% 18.9% 18.9% 20.7% 19.6% 18.5% 16.8% 15.6% 16.4% 15.7% 47.6% 48.5% 44.5% 33.8% 31.3% 33.3% 32.7% 34.0% 37.7% 36.9% 38.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Online Advertising Spend Split by Format Search Classifieds & Directories Display
  • 25. 13 markets grow above European average, incl. 4 out of the top 10 markets by size, but spectrum of growth between markets is vast 45.4% 41.3% 38.1% 29.3% 29.0% 24.7% 24.1% 20.4% 19.6% 17.8% 17.6% 15.5% 14.6% 13.8% 13.0% 11.3% 11.3% 11.0% 10.7% 9.6% 6.5% 6.5% 5.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Ireland Slovenia Romania Slovakia Bulgaria Hungary Spain Russia Austria Serbia Poland UK France EuropeanAverage Sweden Italy Netherlands Greece Turkey Denmark Finland Germany Belgium Switzerland Norway Online Display Growth 2016 by Country* incl. video. Desktop & Mobile. Excl. Croatia & Czech Republic as methodology change does not allow growth calculations.
  • 26. Uneven picture across Europe as classifieds & directories benefit from consolidation, but shift to display-based ad model *excl. Croatia as methodology change does not allow growth calculations. 20.5% 19.0% 18.0% 16.4% 16.3% 10.6% 10.6% 9.9% 8.9% 7.8% 7.5% 7.3% 6.2% 6.1% 6.1% 5.8% 3.6% 3.6% 2.0% 1.9% 1.6% 0.4% -0.1% -0.4% -4.8% -25.7% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% Hungary Serbia Poland Italy Slovakia Germany Russia Switzerland Netherlands UK Denmark EuropeanAverage Turkey Belgium Spain Bulgaria Greece Ireland Romania France Finland Sweden Norway Austria CzechRepublic Slovenia Online Classifieds & Directories Growth 2016 by Country*
  • 27. 19 markets saw double-digit growth in paid-for-search 44.9% 36.1% 28.0% 27.5% 25.1% 21.4% 21.0% 20.8% 20.7% 20.1% 19.2% 18.9% 15.0% 14.4% 12.9% 12.4% 12.2% 12.0% 10.1% 9.0% 8.0% 7.6% 7.3% 6.5% 6.4% 5.0% 4.3% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Slovenia Sweden Romania CzechRepublic Ireland Russia Hungary Switzerland Spain Turkey Norway Croatia Serbia UK EuropeanAverage Slovakia Netherlands Greece Denmark Poland Austria Belgium Bulgaria Finland Italy Germany France Search Growth 2016 by Country
  • 28. Mobile shares of format leap by nearly10 percentage points year-on-year 26.8% 23.9% 24.7% 36.0% 32.2% 33.3% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Mobile share of display Mobile share of search Mobile share of total Mobile share of online ad spend by format* 2015 2016 *only countries which reported both mobile display & mobile search considered
  • 29. A €3bn market, video now is a vital component of online display… 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Switzerland Belgium Bulgaria Italy Croatia Ireland Sweden CzechRepublic Spain France Germany Netherlands EuropeanAverage Turkey UK Austria Finland Greece Russia Slovenia Poland Denmark Norway Serbia Hungary Romania Video Share of Online Display 2016 Total: €2.9bn
  • 30. …and growth is near universally double-digit within 3 clusters 122.0% 102.6% 91.8% 48.0% 46.0% 33.6% 27.6% 26.8% 26.3% 26.0% 25.0% 24.6% 21.1% 19.6% 19.4% 17.4% 15.2% 13.9% 13.9% 11.9% 11.7% 11.0% 10.4% 1.2% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% Slovenia Serbia Ireland Denmark Italy Turkey Spain Sweden Austria Netherlands Belgium Romania EuropeanAverage Bulgaria Germany Finland Russia Norway Switzerland UK France Greece Hungary Poland Online Video Advertising Growth 2016 +/- 10ppt range of averagegrowth leaders challengers
  • 31. Mobile display is highly concentrated, but 13 out of 22 countries measured grew faster than the market leader* 2,645 677 606 258 178 168 139 129 124 107 100 66 51 49 39 25 24 5 4 1 1 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 UK France Italy Germany Norway Sweden Netherlands Russia Turkey Poland Ireland Finland CzechRepublic Spain Denmark Hungary Austria Serbia Romania Bulgaria Croatia Mobile Display Advertising 2016 (€bn) 327.0% 191.3% 156.3% 156.3% 107.7% 89.5% 88.0% 86.6% 85.1% 72.6% 64.4% 53.3% 51.9% 51.6% 45.3% 37.3% 36.7% 34.7% 33.4% 30.9% 26.6% 26.5% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% Serbia Romania CzechRepublic Turkey France Ireland Croatia Russia Bulgaria Hungary Poland EuropeanAverage Denmark Italy UK Sweden Austria Netherlands Finland Spain Norway Germany Mobile Display Advertising Growth 2016 *4 countries did not report mobile display
  • 32. 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 UK France Italy Germany Norway Sweden Netherlands Russia Turkey Poland Top Mobile Display +2 ranks vs all display Market leaders are not created equal: the top 10 ranking by display market size looks different in mobile and video 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 UK Italy Germany France Spain Belgium Netherlands Sweden Russia CzechRepublic Top Video 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 UK Germany France Italy Spain Russia Netherlands Sweden Belgium Poland Top All Display Only in mobile Only in mobile +1 rank vs all display -2 ranks vs all display +1 rank vs all display Only in video -3 ranks vs all display +2 ranks vs all display +3 ranks vs all display Not in top mobile Not in top video Not in top mobile
  • 33. Desktop banner is decline as video and mobile power growth -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 45% Ireland Slovenia Romania Slovakia Bulgaria Hungary Spain Russia Austria Serbia Poland UK France Europeanaverage Sweden Italy Netherlands Greece Turkey Denmark Finland Germany Belgium Switzerland Norway Display growth composition in 2016 all display excl. mobile excl. mobile & video
  • 34. Desktop banner is decline as video and mobile power growth -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 45% Ireland Slovenia Romania Slovakia Bulgaria Hungary Spain Russia Austria Serbia Poland UK France Europeanaverage Sweden Italy Netherlands Greece Turkey Denmark Finland Germany Belgium Switzerland Norway Display growth composition in 2016 all display excl. mobile excl. mobile & video
  • 35. Desktop banner is decline as video and mobile power growth -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 45% Ireland Slovenia Romania Slovakia Bulgaria Hungary Spain Russia Austria Serbia Poland UK France Europeanaverage Sweden Italy Netherlands Greece Turkey Denmark Finland Germany Belgium Switzerland Norway Display growth composition in 2016 all display excl. mobile excl. mobile & video
  • 36. Outlook for 2017 • We expect approximately +10% growth over 2016 • Concentration of growth among fewer players will accelerate • Video will become the primary battleground for consumer attention • Live video set to focus on sports and UGC • E-Sports advertising is gaining traction • Audio is increasingly attractive to marketers • Mobile-first becomes AI-first (but promise & practice are far apart) • Regulation will have a material impact on the future health of the market
  • 37. Contact: Alison Fennah – fennah@iabeurope.eu Marie-Clare Puffett – puffett@iabeurope.eu Daniel Knapp – daniel.knapp@ihsmarkit.com Qingzhen (Jessie) Chen – jessie.chen@ihsmarkit.com Connect with us: @IABEurope IAB Europe www.iabeurope.eu www.technology.ihs.com @IHS4Tech